Predictions and Trends in Healthcare IT. Here’s what’s happening in 2014…
After reading Frost & Sullivan: The Three Big Predictions for the Global Healthcare Market and Digital Health Trends of 2014 by Travis Good, I put together my own thoughts on this year’s trends and predictions for IT healthcare.
I prefer to focus my predictions on things that are either in my control or can be considered a science. When we talk about clinical decision support there is a lot of opportunity for improvement across the Healthcare IT space, everything from mobile apps that help monitor patient health to centralized applications that address day to day decisions that clinicians make.
1) The applications that will have the greatest impact over the next year are the ones that not only provide flashy solutions, but also help the user and the organization create a pathway to the solution they are looking for. In healthcare success comes from good execution of idea and its integration into the users workflow.
2) The emergence of more players in the clinical decision support arena, especially in regards to big data analytics. This means for customers/buyers, expect more noise. Different technical solutions were made to fit specific problems and this means a solution that worked in one area might not be optimized for another. Make sure you understand your needs and can communicate those to others.
3) An increase in healthcare organization adoption of technologies and solutions from non-traditional players. Consumers in general are more accustom to user-friendly mobile apps and technologies. It is clear that those demands and expectations are transferring to healthcare IT solutions. In general large companies, or the traditional player are often slow to react and less agile to adapt to these customer demands.
When it comes to trends, I completely agree with Travis Good (@travisjgood) on the hazards of predicting the future of mobile medicine.
In fact, one of my favorite excerpts describes the accuracy of forecasting:
“The fragility of our attempts to foresee the future is well captured by William A. Sherden. In The Fortune Sellers (1998) he casts a cold eye over a wide range of contemporary forecasting including economic prediction, weather forecasting, population forecasting, technology assessment, business planning, financial services, futurology and fortune telling. He concludes that:
‘‘Of these 16 types of forecast, only two – one-day-ahead weather forecasts and the aging of the population – can be counted on, the rest are about as reliable as the 50–50 odds in flipping a coin. And only one of the 16 – short-term weather forecasts – has any scientific foundation. The rest are typically based on conjecture, unproved theory, and the mere extrapolation of past trends – something no more sophisticated than what a child could do with a ruler (or perhaps a protractor).’’”
Horner, D.S. (2005) Anticipating ethical challenges: Is there a coming era of nanotechnology? Ethics and Information Technology, 7, pp 127-138.
Do you see any other IT healthcare predictions/trends that will bring a big impact to the marketplace in 2014?